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Mar
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Written by:
David Press
3/28/2011 10:18 PM
Nido Petroleum ( NDO-ASX) today announced the approval from the Philippines DOE for their upcoming drilling target, Gindara-1. I've noted Gindara as a possible company making prospect a number of times and I now feel that at current prices, Nido may be offering traders and opportunity for a buy early, sell before spud play, and for longer term speculators, an opportunity for serious share price gains on the back of a successful oil find.
Nido and JV partners, Shell and Kairiki are targeting a possible 1 billion barrels of oil at Gindara, with the drill date around May 2011. Having attained approval for the well, as well as securing the “Atwood Falcon” rig, Nido are finalising the required third party logistics and planning and suggest the rig should arrive on site around mid May.
The company has had a string of poor results which I've covered recently, however at current prices, I feel a short term trade, with an exit before spud, could result in some solid gains with minimal downside risk. Speculation regarding the well results leading into the spud date should put some upward pressure on the share price, especially given the potential this well is offering (1 billion barrels of oil in place is nothing to be sneezed at!) With recent lows in the 9c range after the failings at Tindalo and a capital raising, downside should be limited. Gindara-1 will no doubt be on the radar of traders given the performance of the company's share price leading into and immediately after the Tindalo-1 spud. As such, the potential for serious speculative share price action leads me to believe the company is offering a solid buy early sell before spud play.
For longer term speculators, should Gindara-1 prove successful, Nido's value and corresponding share price should rocket. Targeting such a large possible reserve, success will drastically increase the company's reserves and cash flows. No doubt it is for this reason that Shell chose to farm in to the well ( I discussed the deal briefly here). I have no doubt that many investors are gun shy on Nido following the poor performance of the Tindalo-1 well, however with a Shell drilling engineer involved this time around (the engineer has experience on the “Atwood Falcon” as well), fears of another failure can be somewhat reduced. Having said this, the working relationship between Nido as operators and the Shell drilling engineer are not known, as such it is hard to gauge the impact having a Shell engineering involvement will have.
I'm currently not holding, but should the share price remain around the 10c mark or below, I may very well take a short term trading position leading into the spud date. I think despite the failings of Nido Petroleum's management team in recent years, the company's prospects are certainly looking bright. Opportunities are certainly there for speculators and I feel Nido should definitely be on your watch list.
Disclaimer: I am not a professional advisor. As such, no investment decision should be made based on the above information. Always seek the advice of a licensed professional advisor before making any investment decision.
( PJ36F5JSTV5G )
26 comment(s) so far...
Re: Nido Petroleum - Upcoming Gindara Drill Offers Opportunity
It would appear that the speculative upside I believed would arise due to the potential at Gindara has already surfaced. Nido closed the week up over 19% from the shareprice at the time of publishing this blog.
I'd say there are still some ups and downs to play out, and any weakness may result in myself taking a position.
Please refer to the various disclaimers regarding seeking professional advice before making any investment decision. The above comments are not to be considered financial advice and as such, no investment decisions should be made on the basis of it's content.
By David Press on
4/1/2011 9:17 PM
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Re: Nido Petroleum - Upcoming Gindara Drill Offers Opportunity
The strong run up on anticipation of success at the Gindara-1 well has continued. Nido today finished the week at 15cps, some 42% higher than the price at the time of publishing this article.
Unfortunately for me, I didn't get set, however I'm looking for any weakness as an opportunity to buy.
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